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UFC FIGHT NIGHT 121 Predictions: Werdum vs Tybura

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 121 Predictions: Werdum vs Tybura

After an impressive last couple of weeks in the states, UFC moves to Sydney to see two top 10 ranked heavyweights clash in the main event. Fabricio Werdum is always a big draw as many believe that he is the best heavyweight of all time, submitting Fedor and Cain in their primes, something that no one else has been able to achieve. Here are my predictions for all 13 fights.

Rashad Coulter (8-2) vs Tai Tuivasa (5-0): I am expecting a big performance from Rashad after his brilliant effort on short notice against Chase Sherman. Tai Tuivasa makes his UFC debut, and will be looking for that early knockout. I expect Rashad to weather the early storms until Tuivasa gasses out, leaving his weaknesses exposed in the latter rounds

Prediction: Rashad Coulter by KO, Round 2.

Jenel Lausa (7-3) vs Eric Shelton (10-4): Shelton has an effective takedown rate and also a great ground game. For me, Shelton will dominate Lausa, with most of the fight being spent on the floor, a submission victory for Shelton is not out of the picture but Lausa will hang in there.

Prediction: Eric Shelton by Decision.

Alex Chambers (5-2) vs Nadia Kassem (4-0): All of Kassem’s victories have been first round knockouts, against weak opposition but impressive never the less. Chambers doesn’t look a match for Kassem who should continue her streak when she steps into the UFC octagon for the first time.

Prediction: Nadia Kassem by KO, Round 1.

Damien Brown (17-10) vs Frank Camacho (20-5): This lightweight bout starts the undercard prelims, I can not see past Camacho. His stand up game is considerably better than Brown’s who will be looking to take this to the ground, something he will struggle to do in my opinion.

Prediction: Frank Camacho by KO, Round 2.

Anthony Hamilton (15-8) vs Adam Wieczorek (8-1): Respect to Hamilton for stepping in on short notice, but I don’t see how he wins this one. Wieczorek is effective on the feet, and brilliant on the ground. I can see this being stopped early as Wieczorek continues to gain confidence early on in his career.

Prediction: Adam Wieczorek by Submission, Round 1.

Nik Lentz (29-8-2) vs Will Brooks (18-3): Will Brooks is a real talent, a very well rounded fighter who destroyed the Bellator lightweight division, Lentz will look slow compared to Brooks. If Brooks can push the pace, Lentz will not be able to cope.

Prediction: Will Brooks by Decision.

Ryan Benoit (9-5) vs Ashkan Mokhtarian (13-2): This is an incredibly close match up, Benoit for me has the upper hand unless this game goes to the ground. I would not be shocked if Mokhtarian snatched a victory here, but for me Benoit will outstrike Mokhtarian for 3 full rounds.

Prediction: Ryan Benoit by Decision.

Alexander Volkanovski (15-1) vs Shane Young (11-3): Volkanovski is a beast, he will continue his impressive MMA career this weekend, he has sheer power which opponents will struggle to deal with. Young does not have the ability to come into the octagon and neutralize his power in my opinion.

Prediction: Alexander Volkanovski by KO, Round 1.

Elias Theodorou (14-2) vs Dan Kelly (13-2): This middleweight matchup is incredibly even, fight experts will do well to pick the winner of this one as it is straight down the middle. I predict that Theodorou will edge this, a draw would not be a bad bet for money value. Kelly will look to take this fight to the ground where he will fancy himself to have an advantage.

Prediction: Elias Theodorou by Decision.

Jake Matthews (11-3) vs Bojan Velickovic (15-5-1): Both welterweights look in tremendous shape, in what should be another incredibly even match up, the two are exciting well rounded athletes who can finish the fight at any time. The Serbian Steel is slightly the bigger of the two, which could give him the type of advantage that swings a even matchup like this.

Prediction: Bojan Velickovic by Decision.

Tim Means (27-8-1) vs Belal Muhammad (11-2): I can see this being the fight of the night, both fighters will look to keep the fight off of the ground, due to this I can see Tim Means running through Muhammad early on with his sheer strength and knockout power.

Prediction: Tim Means by KO, Round 1.

Bec Rawlings (7-6) vs Jessica-Rose Clark (7-4): Not the most exciting fight on the card, and not worthy of being the fight before the main in my eyes. Both fighters are a long way from the title shot and do not carry any momentum into this fight. Despite this, Bec Rawlings certainly knows how to finish a fight on the ground, which is her most likely option for winning.

Prediction: Bec Rawlings by Submission, Round 3.

Fabricio Werdum (21-7-1) vs Marcin Tybura (16-2): Main event time. This fight holds the most meaning on the card as the winner could stake a claim for a future title fight as long as the UFC resolve the contract disputes they have with current heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic. Both fighters are incredible on the ground, with the submission specialist Fabricio Wedrum probably having a slight edge. However, I think Tybura has the better stand up game and will grind his way through the fight in order to come away with the victory, which will place him in the top 5 of this division.

Prediction: Marcin Tybura by Decision.

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Bet Of The Day 27/04/2017

Bet Of The Day 27/04/2017

After yesterday’s convincing double, I am feeling even more confident with today’s following bets, as I know a lot of people don’t like the shorter odds I will also add a bigger odds bet today for those that like a punt. As always, I believe the bet of the day will come through, but with the longer bet there are no promises due to the bigger odds, read my reasons for why I have picked the bets and make a decision yourself on how much you would like to stake.

Bet Of The Day:

Manchester City vs Manchester United = over 1.5 goals. 2/7

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo = Sevilla win. 1/3

Adding these to a double would account to 0.71/1, so just like yesterday a little bank builder.

Longer odds acca:

Manchester City vs Manchester United = Manchester United or draw (double chance). 5/6

Anderlecht vs Sporting Charleroi = Anderlecht win to nil. 5/4

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo = Sevilla win. 1/3

Atletico Bilbao vs Betis = Atletico Bilbao win. 2/5

If you accumulate all these, it would add up to 6.7/1, which is at a lot heftier price and to be honest looks pretty good odds.

Here are my reasons to why I have chosen these bets…

Manchester City vs Manchester United: So for this game, firstly I have gone for over 1.5 goals, this is a derby which both teams need to win for the top four. I think this game will be an end-to-end game, and without Ibrahimovic, Manchester United will play with more pace on the counter of Manchester City’s possession game which could see a few goals. At home, Manchester City average 2.8 goals, whilst away from home United average 2.67 goals per game. Both teams in 30 appearances have only failed to score 3 times, the earlier meeting this season also saw 3 goals. The next bet in this game I have gone for is Manchester United double chance, I just can’t see them losing to a City side that must be tired both mentally and physically after their extra time defeat in the FA Cup. Manchester City have only managed to win 8 times in 15 appearances at home this season, whilst Manchester United have only lost twice in 15 appearances on the road. To add to this, Manchester United haven’t been beat in the league for a very long time, it was 6 months ago on a run that now stretches over 20 games.

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo: Sevilla have been very impressive at home this year, winning 12 games out of 16, leading to them getting a Champions League spot, on the other hand Celta Vigo have been shaky on the road, conceding 29 goals in 16 games and only winning 4 out of a possible 16. Sevilla beat Celta Vigo 0-3 earlier in the season and with Celta Vigo focusing on the Europa League, you can expect Sevilla to beat them again this season.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis: Athletic Bilbao are very, very impressive at home, this season they have won 12 out of 17 games and nearly averaging 2 goals scored in those games. Real Betis are woeful away from home, they have lost 11 games out of 16, only maanging 1 clean sheet, Bilbao look pretty safe tonight and should come away from the game with 3 points.

Anderlecht vs Sporting Charleroi: This is the risky bet, but the stats certainly go in the favour of the home team, I have predicted an Anderlecht win to nil, meaning Sporting Charleroi will not score. They have averaged less than 1 goal a game at the home of Anderlecht and have lost 19 / 22 games throughout the years. This season away from home they have averaged under a goal per game away from home also, whilst Anderlecht have scored 2.35 goals per game and only conceded 0.65 goals per game at home. They look awesome at 5/4, especially with the fact that they have kept 10 clean sheets, in 17 home games, giving them one of the very best defences in Europe. Obviously, this is a slight risk as a goal can come from anything in football.